Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:18 AM, 104 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 171,139 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 123,626 - 198,298). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 10:18 AM 2188 c(2.5% = 1700) c(97.5% = 2453)
02 10:18 AM 3529 c(2.5% = 2861) c(97.5% = 3918)
03 10:18 AM 2220 c(2.5% = 1536) c(97.5% = 2595)
04 10:18 AM 2279 c(2.5% = 1527) c(97.5% = 2796)
05 10:18 AM 5101 c(2.5% = 3995) c(97.5% = 5671)
06 10:18 AM 1489 c(2.5% = 1056) c(97.5% = 1718)
07 10:18 AM 1739 c(2.5% = 811) c(97.5% = 2883)
08 10:18 AM 4977 c(2.5% = 3939) c(97.5% = 5581)
09 10:18 AM 2396 c(2.5% = 1941) c(97.5% = 2666)
10 10:18 AM 3215 c(2.5% = 2279) c(97.5% = 3732)
11 10:18 AM 1468 c(2.5% = 965) c(97.5% = 1851)
12 10:18 AM 2457 c(2.5% = 1687) c(97.5% = 2908)
13 10:18 AM 2238 c(2.5% = 1514) c(97.5% = 2711)
14 10:18 AM 944 c(2.5% = 684) c(97.5% = 1078)
15 10:18 AM 2574 c(2.5% = 2044) c(97.5% = 2877)
16 10:18 AM 1250 c(2.5% = 791) c(97.5% = 1651)
17 10:18 AM 2718 c(2.5% = 1873) c(97.5% = 3250)
18 10:18 AM 2160 c(2.5% = 1692) c(97.5% = 2373)
19 10:18 AM 1256 c(2.5% = 666) c(97.5% = 1948)
20 10:18 AM 1149 c(2.5% = 691) c(97.5% = 1537)
21 10:18 AM 6018 c(2.5% = 4607) c(97.5% = 6524)
22 10:18 AM 3257 c(2.5% = 2531) c(97.5% = 3608)
23 10:18 AM 2098 c(2.5% = 1386) c(97.5% = 2617)
24 10:18 AM 1717 c(2.5% = 1160) c(97.5% = 2021)
25 10:18 AM 1739 c(2.5% = 1166) c(97.5% = 2236)
26 10:18 AM 2294 c(2.5% = 1692) c(97.5% = 2482)
27 10:18 AM 2971 c(2.5% = 1971) c(97.5% = 3819)
28 10:18 AM 1330 c(2.5% = 843) c(97.5% = 1751)
29 10:18 AM 1244 c(2.5% = 904) c(97.5% = 1421)
30 10:18 AM 2311 c(2.5% = 1814) c(97.5% = 2544)
31 10:18 AM 1918 c(2.5% = 1459) c(97.5% = 2089)
32 10:18 AM 2189 c(2.5% = 1372) c(97.5% = 2837)
33 10:18 AM 1956 c(2.5% = 1008) c(97.5% = 3019)
34 10:18 AM 4542 c(2.5% = 3289) c(97.5% = 5159)
35 10:18 AM 3185 c(2.5% = 2074) c(97.5% = 3981)
36 10:18 AM 3629 c(2.5% = 2616) c(97.5% = 4119)
37 10:18 AM 1432 c(2.5% = 881) c(97.5% = 1936)
38 10:18 AM 2252 c(2.5% = 1685) c(97.5% = 2515)
39 10:18 AM 4321 c(2.5% = 3184) c(97.5% = 4766)
40 10:18 AM 4792 c(2.5% = 3203) c(97.5% = 5631)
41 10:18 AM 1965 c(2.5% = 1323) c(97.5% = 2575)
42 10:18 AM 2546 c(2.5% = 1488) c(97.5% = 3442)
43 10:18 AM 2056 c(2.5% = 1123) c(97.5% = 3043)
44 10:18 AM 1532 c(2.5% = 1027) c(97.5% = 1877)
45 10:18 AM 2179 c(2.5% = 1497) c(97.5% = 2761)
46 10:18 AM 2718 c(2.5% = 2135) c(97.5% = 3054)
47 10:18 AM 902 c(2.5% = 584) c(97.5% = 1091)
48 10:18 AM 2126 c(2.5% = 1456) c(97.5% = 2462)
49 10:18 AM 2762 c(2.5% = 1825) c(97.5% = 3346)
50 10:18 AM 3646 c(2.5% = 2784) c(97.5% = 4063)
51 10:18 AM 2451 c(2.5% = 1675) c(97.5% = 2971)
52 10:18 AM 2927 c(2.5% = 2212) c(97.5% = 3250)
53 10:18 AM 2198 c(2.5% = 1442) c(97.5% = 2809)
54 10:18 AM 1639 c(2.5% = 1007) c(97.5% = 2285)
55 10:18 AM 2563 c(2.5% = 1753) c(97.5% = 3342)
56 10:18 AM 3633 c(2.5% = 2546) c(97.5% = 4425)
57 10:18 AM 3082 c(2.5% = 2209) c(97.5% = 3587)
58 10:18 AM 5211 c(2.5% = 3698) c(97.5% = 6209)
59 10:18 AM 2586 c(2.5% = 1834) c(97.5% = 2978)
60 10:18 AM 2073 c(2.5% = 1468) c(97.5% = 2399)
61 10:18 AM 3199 c(2.5% = 2105) c(97.5% = 3825)
62 10:18 AM 2426 c(2.5% = 1536) c(97.5% = 3280)
63 10:18 AM 2898 c(2.5% = 2155) c(97.5% = 3245)
64 10:18 AM 1718 c(2.5% = 1209) c(97.5% = 2160)
65 10:18 AM 2426 c(2.5% = 1753) c(97.5% = 2859)
66 10:18 AM 5139 c(2.5% = 3749) c(97.5% = 5969)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions