Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 10:18 AM, 104 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 171,139 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 123,626 - 198,298). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 10:18 AM | 2188 |
c(2.5% = 1700)
|
c(97.5% = 2453)
|
| 02 | 10:18 AM | 3529 |
c(2.5% = 2861)
|
c(97.5% = 3918)
|
| 03 | 10:18 AM | 2220 |
c(2.5% = 1536)
|
c(97.5% = 2595)
|
| 04 | 10:18 AM | 2279 |
c(2.5% = 1527)
|
c(97.5% = 2796)
|
| 05 | 10:18 AM | 5101 |
c(2.5% = 3995)
|
c(97.5% = 5671)
|
| 06 | 10:18 AM | 1489 |
c(2.5% = 1056)
|
c(97.5% = 1718)
|
| 07 | 10:18 AM | 1739 |
c(2.5% = 811)
|
c(97.5% = 2883)
|
| 08 | 10:18 AM | 4977 |
c(2.5% = 3939)
|
c(97.5% = 5581)
|
| 09 | 10:18 AM | 2396 |
c(2.5% = 1941)
|
c(97.5% = 2666)
|
| 10 | 10:18 AM | 3215 |
c(2.5% = 2279)
|
c(97.5% = 3732)
|
| 11 | 10:18 AM | 1468 |
c(2.5% = 965)
|
c(97.5% = 1851)
|
| 12 | 10:18 AM | 2457 |
c(2.5% = 1687)
|
c(97.5% = 2908)
|
| 13 | 10:18 AM | 2238 |
c(2.5% = 1514)
|
c(97.5% = 2711)
|
| 14 | 10:18 AM | 944 |
c(2.5% = 684)
|
c(97.5% = 1078)
|
| 15 | 10:18 AM | 2574 |
c(2.5% = 2044)
|
c(97.5% = 2877)
|
| 16 | 10:18 AM | 1250 |
c(2.5% = 791)
|
c(97.5% = 1651)
|
| 17 | 10:18 AM | 2718 |
c(2.5% = 1873)
|
c(97.5% = 3250)
|
| 18 | 10:18 AM | 2160 |
c(2.5% = 1692)
|
c(97.5% = 2373)
|
| 19 | 10:18 AM | 1256 |
c(2.5% = 666)
|
c(97.5% = 1948)
|
| 20 | 10:18 AM | 1149 |
c(2.5% = 691)
|
c(97.5% = 1537)
|
| 21 | 10:18 AM | 6018 |
c(2.5% = 4607)
|
c(97.5% = 6524)
|
| 22 | 10:18 AM | 3257 |
c(2.5% = 2531)
|
c(97.5% = 3608)
|
| 23 | 10:18 AM | 2098 |
c(2.5% = 1386)
|
c(97.5% = 2617)
|
| 24 | 10:18 AM | 1717 |
c(2.5% = 1160)
|
c(97.5% = 2021)
|
| 25 | 10:18 AM | 1739 |
c(2.5% = 1166)
|
c(97.5% = 2236)
|
| 26 | 10:18 AM | 2294 |
c(2.5% = 1692)
|
c(97.5% = 2482)
|
| 27 | 10:18 AM | 2971 |
c(2.5% = 1971)
|
c(97.5% = 3819)
|
| 28 | 10:18 AM | 1330 |
c(2.5% = 843)
|
c(97.5% = 1751)
|
| 29 | 10:18 AM | 1244 |
c(2.5% = 904)
|
c(97.5% = 1421)
|
| 30 | 10:18 AM | 2311 |
c(2.5% = 1814)
|
c(97.5% = 2544)
|
| 31 | 10:18 AM | 1918 |
c(2.5% = 1459)
|
c(97.5% = 2089)
|
| 32 | 10:18 AM | 2189 |
c(2.5% = 1372)
|
c(97.5% = 2837)
|
| 33 | 10:18 AM | 1956 |
c(2.5% = 1008)
|
c(97.5% = 3019)
|
| 34 | 10:18 AM | 4542 |
c(2.5% = 3289)
|
c(97.5% = 5159)
|
| 35 | 10:18 AM | 3185 |
c(2.5% = 2074)
|
c(97.5% = 3981)
|
| 36 | 10:18 AM | 3629 |
c(2.5% = 2616)
|
c(97.5% = 4119)
|
| 37 | 10:18 AM | 1432 |
c(2.5% = 881)
|
c(97.5% = 1936)
|
| 38 | 10:18 AM | 2252 |
c(2.5% = 1685)
|
c(97.5% = 2515)
|
| 39 | 10:18 AM | 4321 |
c(2.5% = 3184)
|
c(97.5% = 4766)
|
| 40 | 10:18 AM | 4792 |
c(2.5% = 3203)
|
c(97.5% = 5631)
|
| 41 | 10:18 AM | 1965 |
c(2.5% = 1323)
|
c(97.5% = 2575)
|
| 42 | 10:18 AM | 2546 |
c(2.5% = 1488)
|
c(97.5% = 3442)
|
| 43 | 10:18 AM | 2056 |
c(2.5% = 1123)
|
c(97.5% = 3043)
|
| 44 | 10:18 AM | 1532 |
c(2.5% = 1027)
|
c(97.5% = 1877)
|
| 45 | 10:18 AM | 2179 |
c(2.5% = 1497)
|
c(97.5% = 2761)
|
| 46 | 10:18 AM | 2718 |
c(2.5% = 2135)
|
c(97.5% = 3054)
|
| 47 | 10:18 AM | 902 |
c(2.5% = 584)
|
c(97.5% = 1091)
|
| 48 | 10:18 AM | 2126 |
c(2.5% = 1456)
|
c(97.5% = 2462)
|
| 49 | 10:18 AM | 2762 |
c(2.5% = 1825)
|
c(97.5% = 3346)
|
| 50 | 10:18 AM | 3646 |
c(2.5% = 2784)
|
c(97.5% = 4063)
|
| 51 | 10:18 AM | 2451 |
c(2.5% = 1675)
|
c(97.5% = 2971)
|
| 52 | 10:18 AM | 2927 |
c(2.5% = 2212)
|
c(97.5% = 3250)
|
| 53 | 10:18 AM | 2198 |
c(2.5% = 1442)
|
c(97.5% = 2809)
|
| 54 | 10:18 AM | 1639 |
c(2.5% = 1007)
|
c(97.5% = 2285)
|
| 55 | 10:18 AM | 2563 |
c(2.5% = 1753)
|
c(97.5% = 3342)
|
| 56 | 10:18 AM | 3633 |
c(2.5% = 2546)
|
c(97.5% = 4425)
|
| 57 | 10:18 AM | 3082 |
c(2.5% = 2209)
|
c(97.5% = 3587)
|
| 58 | 10:18 AM | 5211 |
c(2.5% = 3698)
|
c(97.5% = 6209)
|
| 59 | 10:18 AM | 2586 |
c(2.5% = 1834)
|
c(97.5% = 2978)
|
| 60 | 10:18 AM | 2073 |
c(2.5% = 1468)
|
c(97.5% = 2399)
|
| 61 | 10:18 AM | 3199 |
c(2.5% = 2105)
|
c(97.5% = 3825)
|
| 62 | 10:18 AM | 2426 |
c(2.5% = 1536)
|
c(97.5% = 3280)
|
| 63 | 10:18 AM | 2898 |
c(2.5% = 2155)
|
c(97.5% = 3245)
|
| 64 | 10:18 AM | 1718 |
c(2.5% = 1209)
|
c(97.5% = 2160)
|
| 65 | 10:18 AM | 2426 |
c(2.5% = 1753)
|
c(97.5% = 2859)
|
| 66 | 10:18 AM | 5139 |
c(2.5% = 3749)
|
c(97.5% = 5969)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions