Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:18 AM, 104 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 171,139 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 123,626 - 198,298). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	10:18 AM	2188	c(2.5% = 1700)	c(97.5% = 2453)
02	10:18 AM	3529	c(2.5% = 2861)	c(97.5% = 3918)
03	10:18 AM	2220	c(2.5% = 1536)	c(97.5% = 2595)
04	10:18 AM	2279	c(2.5% = 1527)	c(97.5% = 2796)
05	10:18 AM	5101	c(2.5% = 3995)	c(97.5% = 5671)
06	10:18 AM	1489	c(2.5% = 1056)	c(97.5% = 1718)
07	10:18 AM	1739	c(2.5% = 811)	c(97.5% = 2883)
08	10:18 AM	4977	c(2.5% = 3939)	c(97.5% = 5581)
09	10:18 AM	2396	c(2.5% = 1941)	c(97.5% = 2666)
10	10:18 AM	3215	c(2.5% = 2279)	c(97.5% = 3732)
11	10:18 AM	1468	c(2.5% = 965)	c(97.5% = 1851)
12	10:18 AM	2457	c(2.5% = 1687)	c(97.5% = 2908)
13	10:18 AM	2238	c(2.5% = 1514)	c(97.5% = 2711)
14	10:18 AM	944	c(2.5% = 684)	c(97.5% = 1078)
15	10:18 AM	2574	c(2.5% = 2044)	c(97.5% = 2877)
16	10:18 AM	1250	c(2.5% = 791)	c(97.5% = 1651)
17	10:18 AM	2718	c(2.5% = 1873)	c(97.5% = 3250)
18	10:18 AM	2160	c(2.5% = 1692)	c(97.5% = 2373)
19	10:18 AM	1256	c(2.5% = 666)	c(97.5% = 1948)
20	10:18 AM	1149	c(2.5% = 691)	c(97.5% = 1537)
21	10:18 AM	6018	c(2.5% = 4607)	c(97.5% = 6524)
22	10:18 AM	3257	c(2.5% = 2531)	c(97.5% = 3608)
23	10:18 AM	2098	c(2.5% = 1386)	c(97.5% = 2617)
24	10:18 AM	1717	c(2.5% = 1160)	c(97.5% = 2021)
25	10:18 AM	1739	c(2.5% = 1166)	c(97.5% = 2236)
26	10:18 AM	2294	c(2.5% = 1692)	c(97.5% = 2482)
27	10:18 AM	2971	c(2.5% = 1971)	c(97.5% = 3819)
28	10:18 AM	1330	c(2.5% = 843)	c(97.5% = 1751)
29	10:18 AM	1244	c(2.5% = 904)	c(97.5% = 1421)
30	10:18 AM	2311	c(2.5% = 1814)	c(97.5% = 2544)
31	10:18 AM	1918	c(2.5% = 1459)	c(97.5% = 2089)
32	10:18 AM	2189	c(2.5% = 1372)	c(97.5% = 2837)
33	10:18 AM	1956	c(2.5% = 1008)	c(97.5% = 3019)
34	10:18 AM	4542	c(2.5% = 3289)	c(97.5% = 5159)
35	10:18 AM	3185	c(2.5% = 2074)	c(97.5% = 3981)
36	10:18 AM	3629	c(2.5% = 2616)	c(97.5% = 4119)
37	10:18 AM	1432	c(2.5% = 881)	c(97.5% = 1936)
38	10:18 AM	2252	c(2.5% = 1685)	c(97.5% = 2515)
39	10:18 AM	4321	c(2.5% = 3184)	c(97.5% = 4766)
40	10:18 AM	4792	c(2.5% = 3203)	c(97.5% = 5631)
41	10:18 AM	1965	c(2.5% = 1323)	c(97.5% = 2575)
42	10:18 AM	2546	c(2.5% = 1488)	c(97.5% = 3442)
43	10:18 AM	2056	c(2.5% = 1123)	c(97.5% = 3043)
44	10:18 AM	1532	c(2.5% = 1027)	c(97.5% = 1877)
45	10:18 AM	2179	c(2.5% = 1497)	c(97.5% = 2761)
46	10:18 AM	2718	c(2.5% = 2135)	c(97.5% = 3054)
47	10:18 AM	902	c(2.5% = 584)	c(97.5% = 1091)
48	10:18 AM	2126	c(2.5% = 1456)	c(97.5% = 2462)
49	10:18 AM	2762	c(2.5% = 1825)	c(97.5% = 3346)
50	10:18 AM	3646	c(2.5% = 2784)	c(97.5% = 4063)
51	10:18 AM	2451	c(2.5% = 1675)	c(97.5% = 2971)
52	10:18 AM	2927	c(2.5% = 2212)	c(97.5% = 3250)
53	10:18 AM	2198	c(2.5% = 1442)	c(97.5% = 2809)
54	10:18 AM	1639	c(2.5% = 1007)	c(97.5% = 2285)
55	10:18 AM	2563	c(2.5% = 1753)	c(97.5% = 3342)
56	10:18 AM	3633	c(2.5% = 2546)	c(97.5% = 4425)
57	10:18 AM	3082	c(2.5% = 2209)	c(97.5% = 3587)
58	10:18 AM	5211	c(2.5% = 3698)	c(97.5% = 6209)
59	10:18 AM	2586	c(2.5% = 1834)	c(97.5% = 2978)
60	10:18 AM	2073	c(2.5% = 1468)	c(97.5% = 2399)
61	10:18 AM	3199	c(2.5% = 2105)	c(97.5% = 3825)
62	10:18 AM	2426	c(2.5% = 1536)	c(97.5% = 3280)
63	10:18 AM	2898	c(2.5% = 2155)	c(97.5% = 3245)
64	10:18 AM	1718	c(2.5% = 1209)	c(97.5% = 2160)
65	10:18 AM	2426	c(2.5% = 1753)	c(97.5% = 2859)
66	10:18 AM	5139	c(2.5% = 3749)	c(97.5% = 5969)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions